by Greg Klein | November 24, 2015
The world’s third-largest diamond producer by value, Canada has two new mines under development and a busy exploration scene despite the gems’ price slump. Speaking to Mining Weekly Online, diamond authority Paul Zimnisky said this country appears to be the jurisdiction best-positioned to navigate the turbulence.
“Looking at the Northwest Territories’ Ekati and Diavik mines, for instance, they are still quite profitable projects, even in a weaker price environment,” he told deputy editor Henry Lazenby. “I think Dominion Diamond [TSX:DDC], which owns 89% of Ekati and 40% of Diavik, could generate almost $250 million in free cash flow next year and almost double that the following year, using what I would consider a conservative diamond price. The company’s market cap is only $750 million.”
On November 19, Dominion reported fiscal Q3 2016 sales of $145 million, down from $222.3 million the same period last year. The company attributed the drop to a “cautious market,” lower-value production from Ekati and an approximately 8% decline in rough prices this year. Still, Ekati’s Misery main pipe remains on schedule for fiscal Q1 2017 production.
Zimnisky also noted Canada’s two mines-to-be, the De Beers/Mountain Province Diamonds TSX:MPV Gahcho Kué joint venture in the NWT and Stornoway Diamond’s (TSX:SWY) Renard project in Quebec, stand fully financed despite the investment climate. Additionally, Kennady Diamonds TSXV:KDI closed a $48.12-million private placement last month, funding its Kennady North project to the end of 2017—“which, Zimnisky noted, was impressive relative to the company’s $130-million market capitalization.”
He added that Canada’s share of global output by value could increase from about 15% now to 25% by 2018, thanks to new mines in development and exploration activity on a number of fronts.
Despite the slump, diamonds continue to out-perform other minerals, Zimnisky pointed out. “If they aren’t already, I would expect the Rios and BHPs of the world to start actively looking at diamonds again as a way to diversify their portfolios,” he told Mining Weekly.