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Gold price drops again as December ETF outflows hit 17 tonnes

by Frik Els | December 12, 2013 | Reprinted by permission of

Gold price drops again as December ETF outflows hit 17 tonnes


The gold price slumped more than $30 or close to 2.5% an ounce on December 12 as a December taper of U.S. monetary stimulus begins to look more likely and liquidation of gold-backed ETFs continue apace.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for February delivery traded at $1,226.80 an ounce during lunchtime dealings, down $30.40 from the previous day and not far off the day’s weakest level of $1,224.20.

Dealings were brisk, with over 130,000 futures changing hands compared to a daily average of 150,000 contracts by 12:50 EST.

A likely budget deal from U.S. lawmakers which would avert a government shutdown has removed a substantial hurdle for the Federal Reserve to start winding down its quantitative easing program that has pumped $4 trillion of easy money into the U.S. economy.

The Fed has been reviewing QE and is eager to throttle back asset purchases at the first signs of a solid economic recovery in the U.S. Without the threat of a repeat of October’s political mess, the bank could start to taper the $85-billion-a-month program as soon as next week at its final meeting for the year.

Bond yields on the 10-year remain around 2.8% and should the Fed start cutting back they are likely to rise, giving further impetus for investors to dump gold for higher-yielding assets—something that hedge funds and larger investors in gold have been doing consistently since April.

Another 17 million tonnes have left gold-backed exchange traded funds in December, with holdings of the world’s largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust NYE:GLD, already down just under 10 tonnes.

Bullion held by the fund, established in November 2004, is now at its lowest level since January 2009.

Net redemptions slowed dramatically from the torrid pace of the second quarter, but started picking up again in October. GLD has experienced year-to-date outflows of 517 tonnes or 16.6 million ounces to 833.2 tonnes, down some 38% from the start of the year.

The continued outflows from gold ETFS also come after data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed hedge funds are now the least bullish on the yellow metal since 2007, when gold averaged around $700 an ounce.

Net long positions held by commercial gold traders—bets that the price will rise—fell by 16% to a mere 26,774 contracts last week, data from Danish investment bank Saxo shows.

Reprinted by permission of

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